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  5. Undiscovered bird extinctions obscure the true magnitude of human-driven extinction waves.

Undiscovered bird extinctions obscure the true magnitude of human-driven extinction waves.

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Resource type
Journal article
Creator (person)
Cooke, Rob
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Sayol, Ferran
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Andermann, Tobias
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Blackburn, Tim M.
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Steinbauer, Manuel J.
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Antonelli, Alexandre
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Faurby, Søren
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Date published
December 19, 2023
Abstract
Birds are among the best-studied animal groups, but their prehistoric diversity is poorly known due to low fossilization potential. Hence, while many human-driven bird extinctions (i.e., extinctions caused directly by human activities such as hunting, as well as indirectly through human-associated impacts such as land use change, fire, and the introduction of invasive species) have been recorded, the true number is likely much larger. Here, by combining recorded extinctions with model estimates based on the completeness of the fossil record, we suggest that at least ~1300–1500 bird species (~12% of the total) have gone extinct since the Late Pleistocene, with 55% of these extinctions undiscovered (not yet discovered or left no trace). We estimate that the Pacific accounts for 61% of total bird extinctions. Bird extinction rate varied through time with an intense episode ~1300 CE, which likely represents the largest human-driven vertebrate extinction wave ever, and a rate 80 (60–95) times the background extinction rate. Thus, humans have already driven more than one in nine bird species to extinction, with likely severe, and potentially irreversible, ecological and evolutionary consequences.
Project(s)
Priority 2: Trait Diversity and Function
Funder
Funder nameAwards
'la Caixa' Foundation, Spain
Junior Leader program (fellowship code LCF/BQ/PI23/11970019)
SciLifeLab & Wallenberg Data Driven Life Science Program
Fellowship grant (KAW 2020.0239)
Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft, Germany
STE 2360/2-1 embedded in FOR 2332
European Research Council, European Union
Grant 741413 Humans on Planet Earth (HOPE)
Vetenskapsrådet, Sweden
2017-03862 - 2019-05191
Stiftelsen för Miljöstrategisk Forskning, Sweden
Project BioPath
Kew Foundation, United Kingdom
Carl Tryggers Stiftelse för Vetenskaplig Forskning, Sweden
Project number CTS 18:105
Journal title
Nature Communications
Volume
14
Article number
8116
Publisher
Springer Science and Business Media LLC
Place of publication
Berlin/Heidelberg, Germany
eISSN
2041-1723
Date accepted
November 9, 2023
Official URL
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-023-43445-2
Related URL
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-023-43445-2
Rights statement
In Copyright
Licence
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
DOI
10.1038/s41467-023-43445-2
Keywords
Prehistoric diversity
Human-driven extinction
Biodiversity
Biogeography
Bird extinctions
Extinctions
Palaeoecology
Macroecology
Additional information
IF = 17.694 (2022-2023)
Managed by the British Library and supported by the AHRC

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